World War III may begin because of Transnistria, says country’s president

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World War III may begin because of Transnistria, says country’s president
By: The Guest writer - Dmitry Rodionov of The Rio times - 04-03-23
Re: https://www.riotimesonline.com/brazi...rys-president/


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The Rio Times
World War III may begin because of Transnistria, says country’s president
By: Guest writer - Dmitry Rodionov
April 3, 2023

Grigoriopol, World War III may begin because of Transnistria, says country’s president [By Dmitry Rodionov]

The path to world war lies through Transnistria, said its president, Vadim Krasnoselsky, at a meeting with deputies of the Grigoriopol district.

“Through Transnistria, there is a direct path to a world war. If Transnistria intervenes, Moldova will intervene. It’s natural. We’re neighbors.”

“When Moldova will intervene, Romania will intervene, and this is a NATO member, and if Romania intervenes, Russia will also intervene,” he said.

According to him, the question remains about what weapons this will happen with. He believes that funds will be unlimited if there is a global conflict.

How seriously can these words be taken?

Map link: https://www.riotimesonline.com/wp-co...va-768x636.jpg
Transnistria and Moldova at the center of the next conflict?

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The Rio Times reports:

World War III may begin because of Transnistria, says country’s president
By Guest writer - April 3, 2023

Grigoriopol, World War III may begin because of Transnistria, says country’s president - By Dmitry Rodionov

The path to world war lies through Transnistria, said its president, Vadim Krasnoselsky, at a meeting with deputies of the Grigoriopol district.

“Through Transnistria, there is a direct path to a world war. If Transnistria intervenes, Moldova will intervene. It’s natural. We’re neighbors.”

“When Moldova will intervene, Romania will intervene, and this is a NATO member, and if Romania intervenes, Russia will also intervene,” he said.

According to him, the question remains about what weapons this will happen with. He believes that funds will be unlimited if there is a global conflict.

How seriously can these words be taken?

Transnistria and Moldova at the center of the next conflict?
Transnistria and Moldova at the center of the next conflict?
The constant escalation around Transnistria has already forced many to accept the inevitability of a new conflict involving Ukraine and Russia, but the Third World War? Because of Transnistria?

How to understand this statement? An attempt to draw world attention to the problems of Transnistria?

Or is it addressed to an internal audience or a signal to Kyiv and the West that it is not worth organizing an adventure against Tiraspol?

“This is a statement for everyone,” said Alexander Nemtsev, associate professor at the Financial University under the Russian Government.

– But first of all, for the Moldovan society. The Moldovans do not need this war – their country, in this case, like Ukraine, will become a bargaining chip. Residents of both banks of the Dniester communicate with each other.

Many cars with Moldovan license plates go to Tiraspol, and Transnistrian ones go to Chisinau and other cities of Moldova. Rejection of a war between the two banks is essential and can affect its prevention.

SP: Transnistria will intervene, and Moldova will intervene. If Moldova intervenes, Romania will also intervene; if Romania intervenes, Russia will also intervene. Is the scenario not a bit dramatic?

– No, almost the entire Moldovan ruling elite has Romanian citizenship. They will do whatever their bosses tell them in Bucharest.

This is understood both in Russia and in other countries. Therefore, the option of a global crisis due to the events on the Dniester is quite real.

"SP”: NATO and Russia will fight for Transnistria? Is Transnistria such a severe reason for a world war? Is it so crucial to both sides?

The situation is much more complicated. In addition to Transnistria, there is Gagauzia in Moldova, primarily Orthodox Turkish-speaking. This territory has a pro-Russian orientation, but Turkey has a significant influence.

Gagauzia will not remain aloof from the conflict. I would even say that the Gagauzia are under the tutelage of Turkey. Moreover, there are the referendum results, where they refused even to consider the option of joining Romania.

And for Turkey, it is not profitable to strengthen Bucharest in the zone of its interests. Therefore, because of this factor, the option of a direct clash with NATO because the Moldovan card has both supporters and interests within the alliance and its opponents.

“SP”: If we talk about the Third World War in general, what is its probability? Today we can scare each other, talk about how close we have come to it, move the hands of the doomsday clock, etc. But does anyone allow this?

The Western elites behave like wounded dogs. They wince. In their worldview, Ukraine should have returned to the 1991 borders, but everything was interrupted. This attack on Ukraine has been prevented thanks to the announcement of a special military operation.

This was an unprecedented audacity on Russia’s part, which the West still cannot accept. From their point of view, we must consistently give up our national interests to align with theirs.

I don’t think they are ready for a full-blown war in Europe, and what is happening in Ukraine scares them. Therefore, they will provoke, but they will not dare to fight.

“SP”: If the conflict in Transnistria does happen, what will it look like? What will the occasion be, and who is ready to participate fully?

Such a conflict on the banks of the Dniester is, first and foremost, beneficial for Ukraine. It is necessary to shake up the domestic political situation in Russia.

Should Moldova request it, Ukraine is ready to neutralize the regime in Tiraspol.

Why are they in such a hurry? They are afraid that Russia will advance to Moldova’s borders, take control of Odessa, and then the problem will take care of itself. That is why they are trying to solve the problem earlier.

2nd Map link: https://www.riotimesonline.com/wp-co...ap-768x890.png
Gagauzia, a Turkish-influenced region within Moldova. (Photo internet reproduction)

GThe President of Transnistria, Vadim Krasnoselsky, is not one of those politicians who seek to make loud statements to attract attention,” said Igor Shornikov, director of the Transnistrian Institute for Socio-Political Studies and Regional Development.

– This emphasis on security issues is instead forced since it seems that not all regional players understand the seriousness of the situation. The primary signal is still directed to the West, which can influence Kyiv and Chisinau.

“SP”: Let’s analyze the scenario described by Krasnoselsky. What might a provocation look like that would draw Transnistria and Moldova into the conflict? What could be the role of Ukraine here?

The provocations can be anything. An example is the current situation with the revealed plans for terrorist attacks in Transnistria.

If the terrorist attack against the OSCE delegation occurred, its responsibility would be assigned first to Tiraspol and then to Moscow, which, according to the West, is responsible for everything in Transnistria.

After the corresponding promotion in the Western media, the joint invasion of the Moldovan troops and the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Transnistria would no longer be regarded as aggression but as a counter-terrorism operation.

SP: Can Moscow intervene at all? No one can figure out Artemovsky at all. How is Russia going to break through the corridor in Transnistria?

This is a question for the Russian General Staff, but diplomats have repeatedly stated that an attack on Transnistria will be regarded as an attack on Russia.

Minister Sergei Lavrov stressed that Russia is mandated to ensure regional security, and Moscow will use it.

I believe Russia has ways to inflict unacceptable damage on the aggressors. Otherwise, the bad scenarios for Transnistria would have already been implemented.

“SP”: And Romania will dare to act if Russia intervenes? Are they suicidal, or do they expect NATO to fight for them?

The Romanians categorically do not want to fight with Russia; such a clash will end their dream of a Greater Romania, which they have been advancing for the past 30 years by “soft power” methods and are already one step away from achievement.

However, Romania is bound by treaties with Moldova and promises to come to the rescue in any case.

Moreover, Bucharest cannot disobey Washington; they have no choice if they are ordered to be made into mincemeat.

“SP”: Does NATO need this? Are they ready to unleash the third world war because of Transnistria?

NATO needs to weaken Russia as much as possible. The past year has shown that Ukraine is not enough for this.

(Bucharest’s dream of Greater Romania)

How else to cause overexertion?

Force Russia to disperse resources in other areas. There are few options here – either to open a second front in Georgia or to unfreeze the conflict on the Dniester.

Moldova is not yet a member of NATO, which means it is an excellent candidate for war with Russia.

True, Moldovan neutrality still interferes. But with the current authorities in Chisinau, this problem is quite surmountable.

It must be understood that in the event of a conflict on the Dniester, the Romanians will not be able to evade; at the first stage, they will have to provide military assistance and send “volunteers”.

And then, who knows how things will go? World War III will begin not because of Transnistria but because of Western efforts to expand hostilities against Russia. Romania could be directly involved in the conflict.

Ukraine demonstrates its readiness to intervene in the situation in Transnistria and erects fortifications on the border,” recalls Dmitry Yezhov, associate professor of the Department of Political Science of the Financial University under the Government of Russia.

This is a dangerous trend, but a new hotbed of conflict hardly benefits the collective West, which is interested in delaying hostilities in Ukraine, at least at this stage.

In the future, the situation may develop according to different scenarios. Hypothetically, the opening of a second front in the Moldovan direction through Transnistria can lead to undesirable consequences for all parties for one simple reason – to one degree or another, Bucharest is interested in expanding the Moldovan-Transnistrian conflict, and Romania, as you know, is a NATO country from whose territory the whole of Moldova is controlled.

Theoretically, Maia Sandu can amend the constitution, invite foreign troops, and then Romania will enter Moldova.

This will lead to the absorption of Moldova by Romania. With the implementation of such a scenario, it will be possible to talk about the implementation of the next anti-Russian project.

However, at this stage, such a prospect is not apparent.

The statements of the head of Transnistria should be perceived as an attempt to draw attention to the possible trajectory of the situation.

Moldova itself is unlikely to decide on any actions – the forces of Transnistria, together with the deployed peacekeeping contingent, exceed the number of the Moldovan army.
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Personal note:
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Russia has issue's there's no two ways about it. He's being boxed in and doesn't
like the new mapping restrictions. He's got nobody to blame but himself and
putting his people once - in more harm's way - at the same time!
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