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Old 03-13-2009, 10:20 AM
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Lightbulb Aloha: North Korea Announces Detailed Missile Flight Plan

Aloha: North Korea Announces Detailed Missile Flight Plan

In a transparent ploy to legitimize their upcoming "space launch," the North Koreans submitted plans of their ballistic missile launch to UN aviation and maritime agencies yesterday. More details emerge today as the UN's International Civil Aviation Organization releases its warning to aviators:

In a letter to ICAO earlier this week, the North said the launch would take place between April 4-8 and between 11:00 a.m. and 4.p.m. (KST), it added. Of the two potential danger areas identified, one is in waters close to Japan's northeastern area and the other is in the East Sea, according to a map released by ICAO. The map appears to show that if successful, a multi-stage rocket would fly over Japan after shedding its first booster in the East Sea.







Digging further, I found the ICAO news release (PDF) which includes the coordinates of the two danger areas where the North Korean missile will drop its booster stages and created this map:

Connecting the dots between the launch site (orange triangle) and the two danger zones where the two stages will splash (red triangles), we can see where the missle could head --- again, according to the North Koreans themselves:
  • They indeed plan to overfly Japan, shedding the first booster in the Sea of Japan.
  • Depending on the range of the missile, the trajectory is making a bee-line for Hawaii.
Stay tuned.
UPDATE: Welcome, Jules Crittenden, LGF and Campaign Spot readers.
Could it actually reach Hawaii? Who knows ... but the North Koreans did recently test an ICBM engine that would put California in reach. Whether that engine will power this missile is unknown.
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Old 03-13-2009, 10:23 AM
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Who Is McKittrick?

As a security and privacy measure, John McKittrick is the pen name of an ornery, opinionated American missile defense insider.
An executive at a defense contractor, McKittrick ultimately works for the Missile Defense Agency and the Department of Defense. His views are his alone and everything presented here is UNCLASSIFIED. If he suddenly clams up or shuts down a comment thread, please realize he's not going to lose his security clearance for Blog Glory or for the entertainment of random internet drifters --- McKittrick's no dummy, you nosy hippies, commies & jihadis.
Do note, McKittrick is not a rocket scientist --- but he manages some and drinks beer with others. So while some readers may want to discuss burn-out velocities and the nuances of Lambert missile guidance, let's not and say we did.
McKittrick also blogs/comments under the pseudonym Cuffy Meigs at Perfunction, but that's just screedy political stuff and moronic pop culture observations. All of his early missile defense posts were done over there and have been re-posted here (alas, the comments did not make it over. Sorry).
Unlike Perfunction, Closing Velocity is serious missile defense insight ... with a sprinkling of screedy political stuff. After all, as a missile defense exec and policy advocate, that is McKittrick's day job.
What to Expect from Closing Velocity
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