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Old 01-12-2022, 10:26 AM
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Exclamation French intelligence: Russia has 3 scenarios for invading Ukraine

French intelligence: Russia has 3 scenarios for invading Ukraine
By: USWIRE Org. News - 01-12-22

French intelligence believes that Moscow is developing several scenarios for military aggression
against Ukraine: from the seizure of the entire Donbas to the occupation of cities in the South
of Ukraine.

The French news agency Europe1, referring to the French intelligence, said that Putin is still
planning to invade Ukraine. At the same time, the Russian president understands the balance
of power is "very tense."

According to Europe1, Putin will decide the future fate of Ukraine based on the results of negotiations
with the United States and NATO.

The first scenario is a direct invasion of Ukraine. Russia has already amassed 100,000 to 150,000
soldiers and a lot of military equipment on the Ukrainian border. In this scenario, there will be many
casualties on both sides.

The Europe1’s source reports that the British government has already developed an emergency plan
for the evacuation of its citizens in case of the Russian invasion.

Scenario 2 is to annex only the Donbas to Russia. French generals initially thought that this course
of events was most likely. It is suitable for Russia, because it can provoke an incident in the region,
in order to then deploy troops "to protect" the Russians living in the Donbas.

The last scenario is the seizure of strategically important regions in the South of Ukraine. This will give
Russia an opportunity to "connect" the annexed Crimea not only by water, but also by land.

At the same time, the French do not rule out that Russia is ready to use the strategy proposed by General
Valery Gerasimov in the war against Ukraine. He suggested to unleash an all-out war on the economic,
information and military fronts.

Tags: France - Ukraine - Russia
Note: Latest news from US Embassy - ~ 1 hr ago.
The Department of State continues to advise U.S. citizens to reconsider travel to Ukraine due to increased
threats from Russia. Concerning reports of further unusual Russian military activity near Ukraine’s borders
and in occupied Crimea continue, and U.S. citizens are reminded the security conditions may change with
little or no notice. U.S. citizens in Ukraine should be aware that further Russian military action anywhere in
Ukraine would severely impact the U.S. Embassy’s ability to provide consular services, including assistance
to U.S. citizens in departing the country.
Personal note: Much depends on how much Vodka Putin puts away before the meeting. He knows starting
this will end his rein but backing away from it could get the same results he's caught in a Catch 22 or
(a no win scenario) plus he's damned if he does - and damned - if he don't.

O Almighty Lord God, who neither slumberest nor sleepest; Protect and assist, we beseech thee, all those who at home or abroad, by land, by sea, or in the air, are serving this country, that they, being armed with thy defence, may be preserved evermore in all perils; and being filled with wisdom and girded with strength, may do their duty to thy honour and glory; through Jesus Christ our Lord. Amen.

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