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Old 12-05-2021, 05:40 AM
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Arrow The U.S. Military is Rethinking Its Entire Pacific Strategy

The U.S. Military is Rethinking Its Entire Pacific Strategy
By: Dan Goure - National Interest News - 12-05-21
Re: https://nationalinterest.org/blog/re...trategy-197436

Photo link: https://nationalinterest.org/sites/d...?itok=AvxVOFZ8
Tags: Mark Milley - U.S. Army - Korea - People's Liberation Army - U.S. Navy
In containing China, the U.S. military needs to fight smarter - with clear and actionable goals and enough strength to back them up.

Here's What You Need To Remember: In an address to the Navy Institute, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and former Chief of Staff of the Army, General Mark Milley, warned that the U.S military faced “bloodletting” as the Pentagon struggled to fund major expansion and restructuring programs for the other Services.

The rise of China is the one overarching national security challenge for the foreseeable future, and it will be vital to continue maintaining stability in the Indo-Pacific region through deterrence measures. Complicating those efforts is the need to modernize and restructure the U.S. military.

The Pentagon’s plans to expand the U.S. Navy and U.S. Air Force, reorient the Marine Corps and build a Space Force with warfighting potential are being pursued largely with the growing threat from China in mind. However, the Service largely being left out is the Army. The Army has not been able to articulate a substantive role for itself in the Indo-Pacific region. Unless it does, the Army risks suffering a significant reduction in resources and end-strength.

Earlier this month, in an address to the Navy Institute, the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and former Chief of Staff of the Army, General Mark Milley, warned that the U.S military faced “bloodletting” as the Pentagon struggled to fund major expansion and restructuring programs for the other Services. Wearing his CJCS hat, General Milley declared, “I would advocate, and bias going forward, heavy investment in sea, air and space-centric platforms.”

While the Chairman did not single out the Army for cuts, it seems certain that his bias, if reflected in future defense budgets, spells trouble for the Service he once led. In the same address, General Milley acknowledged as much: “Look, I'm an Army guy,” Milley said. “And I love the Army…but the fundamental defense of the United States, and the ability to project power forward [are] going to be naval and air and space power.”

The Chairman’s comments reflect the central theme in the Trump administration’s National Security Strategy and the National Defense Strategy: the return to an era of great power competition. While both Russia and China are classified as great powers, the pacing threat is from the latter, which has the economy, technology, manpower and political will to pose a grand strategic challenge to the United States and allies, particularly in the Indo-Pacific region. China may overtake the United States as a naval power within the next decade. Countering China may require the “bias” in defense investments suggested by General Milley.

The Trump administration appears to agree with General Milley’s assessment. Last year, it stood up a new military Service, the Space Force, reflecting the broadly-held view that space was now a warfighting domain and that U.S. space assets were increasingly threatened by Russian and Chinese anti-satellite capabilities. The proposed FY 2022 defense budget contains a massive increase in funding for Navy shipbuilding. The U.S. Marine Corps is undertaking a radical restructuring to make it more capable of supporting maritime operations in the Indo-Pacific region. The Air Force, which is struggling to get bigger, will definitely get better with substantial investments in the F-35, B-21, KC-46, Advanced Battle Management System and long-range munitions.

The U.S. Army is the one service still struggling to find its footing in the future competition with China. Today, the Army is struggling to meet simultaneous demands for forces in multiple overseas theaters while also providing critical support at home in response to the challenges of the pandemic and repeated natural disasters. At the same time, it is investing heavily in its six modernization priorities and working on changes to doctrine, organization and training required to address the era of great power conflict.

What should the role of the Army be in the Indo-Pacific? Army leadership itself is uncertain. It is planning to set up multi-domain task forces to conduct experiments in the region to test new fires capabilities, advanced electronic warfare, intelligence and air/missile defense capabilities. The Army is looking at future deployments with its new long-range fires systems, such as the Precision Strike Missile, mid-range weapons based on the Standard Missile-6 and Tomahawk cruise missile, and a long-range hypersonic missile.

But if all the Army plans to do in the Indo-Pacific is deploy fires systems and air defenses, it risks irrelevance and a major hit to its budget. The role of supporting the Navy with long-range fires is one claimed by the Marine Corps. Moreover, what is the value to the theater commander from a few more batteries of long-range missiles, given what the Sea Services plan to deploy?

The Army’s forte is the deployment of large, combined formations that can conduct extensive and prolonged land campaigns. This is the role it maintains on the Korean peninsula, where the Army deploys the 2nd Infantry Division plus supporting units to help the Republic of Korea deter the threat from North Korea. This is the kind of mission that justifies a large and expensive Army.

Earlier this year, the Office of the Secretary of Defense initiated a study of the role of the Army in the Indo-Pacific theater. Its objective was to consider ways of strengthening the Army’s posture in the Indo-Pacific region in general, and the role of large, heavy formations in deterring China.

Dominating air, sea, and space is not an end in itself. It is an intermediate step toward the ultimate goal of controlling or denying critical land. The idea that deterrence can be achieved by relying primarily on air and naval forces is just wrong. We’ve been down this road in the ten years between the Gulf War and 9/11; the theory was wrong then, and it is wrong now. At present, the United States is not going to be able to counter the People’s Liberation Army Navy Marine Corps no matter what long-range fires system they deploy. If Chinese forces manage to land in Taiwan, it will take an Army heavy corps, at minimum, to help the Taiwanese forces defeat them.

Is there a place for large Army formations elsewhere in the theater? Clearly, the Korean peninsula is one possibility. But a presence in other areas would be a clear indication of a U.S. commitment and a strong deterrent to Chinese aggression.

A Biden administration will certainly articulate a new National Security Strategy that differs in many respects from that of the Trump administration. But it will be impossible to deny the basic reality of great power competition and the continuous growth of the Chinese military. It is up to the Army’s senior leaders to articulate the value of large land forces for deterrence and warfighting in the Indo-Pacific region.

About this writer: Dan Gouré, Ph.D., is a vice president at the public-policy research think tank Lexington Institute. Goure has a background in the public sector and U.S. federal government, most recently serving as a member of the 2001 Department of Defense Transition Team. You can follow him on Twitter at @dgoure and the Lexington Institute @LexNextDC.

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Personal note: The ability to fight against ones enemy is perplexing and variable all
the times. You make an assumption only to find out its later it was flawed - or has
been compensated for. You rewriter your game plan based on supposedly current data
and adjust accordingly. Yet - after your review - you ask could it be a ploy - and now
you have to reconsider this option - to your first one - and it goes on and on.
-
Military Leaders are always second guessing their maneuver's. Nerve racking yes -
but the cost of making the wrong decision could be fatal. Sending your men to war
and having a bad result - is devastating - and could be a career buster - and that
cost of a bad decision - proved fatal to those taking those actions - in your behalf.
-
That's a lot of baggage to carry - followed by - reports to your supervisor and/or the
family members of the fallen.
-
Some buddy has to take the lead - though not perfect - a call has to be made.
I saw this when I served. The word of the day was - someone has to make the call!
Right or wrong - we all live with the end results. We are not perfect - the verbiage
often used was "shit happens" let move on. As regrettable as it is we adjust -
and overcome - and this is why - we are human.
-
Many stories have been written over centuries of warfare. Our Leader's today
are no different - some will excel - while other's will fall.
-
General Mark Milley - he's a good guy - he's under extreme pressure 24/7
and at night he must ponder his decision's of the day - what could I do
differently - how can I get more feed-back - is everything covered -
God help me if I make a bad decision. He won't say this but often
times thinks of it.
-
The Pentagon - is also on the fast track - data comes in hourly and it has
to be deciphered - analyzed and forwarded to their supervisors. Who in turn
have to summarize the specifics and move it up the chain of command.
Alas it gets to Milley who then reports to Biden - a census is made and/or
an emergency meeting is held with other(s). This must happen every single
day. Can you imagine a job like that and then go home and be asked
how did you day go "Honey"? Yea right.
-
This is my summary of how things get processed in our Leadership today
and everyday - it has got to be nightmare!! I just has to be.
__________________
Boats

O Almighty Lord God, who neither slumberest nor sleepest; Protect and assist, we beseech thee, all those who at home or abroad, by land, by sea, or in the air, are serving this country, that they, being armed with thy defence, may be preserved evermore in all perils; and being filled with wisdom and girded with strength, may do their duty to thy honour and glory; through Jesus Christ our Lord. Amen.

"IN GOD WE TRUST"
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